What this research found
Medicinal-chemistry patents often publish their potency tables as pictures, which blocks automated structure-activity analysis. Starting from patent WO2020231990, which claims heterocyclic inhibitors of fibroblast growth factor receptor 2 (FGFR2), 45 of 52 example compounds were recovered and verified against PubChem, then scored geometrically against a 1.77 angstrom co-crystal of the FGFR2 kinase domain in place of the unreadable activity bins. A random forest trained on those scores reproduced them with an R-squared of 0.36 to 0.40 across three cross-validation schemes and identified the 4-amino-pyrrolopyrimidine hinge-binder core as its leading structural driver.
- Extraction recovered 45 of 52 patent examples as PubChem-verified structures, an 86.5% yield with no duplicate identifiers. Pairwise Tanimoto distances spanning 0.328 to 0.954 indicate a chemically diverse series rather than one tight analogue family, though 33 of the 45 sit in a single pyrrolopyrimidine cluster.
- The patent's master activity table is a raster image in both its PDF and HTML forms, so no per-compound potency bin could be read. A geometric proxy target was substituted, combining alignment similarity to the co-crystal ligand, heavy-atom pocket contacts of 10 to 44 per molecule, and ligand-to-pocket centroid distances of 1.09 to 5.40 angstroms.
- The random forest generalises consistently but only moderately, with out-of-bag R-squared 0.386, 5-fold 0.364 (RMSE 1.586) and leave-one-out 0.400 (RMSE 1.541), against a training R-squared of 0.699.
- Impurity-based, permutation, and TreeSHAP importances all converge on the same seven drivers: Bertz topological complexity, polar surface area, exact molecular weight, aromatic-ring count, total atom count, Crippen log P, and a single fingerprint bit.
- That bit maps to the 4-amino-pyrrolo[2,3-d]pyrimidine core and fires in 22 of 45 compounds. Related informative bits pick out the pyrimidine nitrogen-carbon-nitrogen hinge triad (34 of 45), the 4-amino hydrogen-bond donor (32 of 45) and the methacrylamide covalent warhead (9 of 45), recovering the established kinase hinge-binder pharmacophore rather than proposing a new one.
How it was done
The patent full text was retrieved from Patentscope and Google Patents, example blocks were parsed on their chemical names, and each was matched to a PubChem structure by exact lookup with a fuzzy fallback above a 0.75 similarity score. Structures were standardised in RDKit and described by 23 two-dimensional descriptors plus a 2,048-bit Morgan fingerprint, with three-dimensional conformers built by distance geometry and minimised under the MMFF94s force field. In parallel a 1.77 angstrom FGFR2 kinase-domain co-crystal was retrieved and its 23-residue ATP pocket annotated with the canonical landmarks: gatekeeper V564, the VEYA hinge motif, the DFG motif, and catalytic lysine K517. With no readable potency column, every ligand was scored on a standardised composite of alignment similarity, pocket contacts, and centroid distance, and a 1,000-tree random forest was fitted across all 2,071 features with out-of-bag, 5-fold, and leave-one-out error reported side by side.
Data sources
- Patent WO2020231990, Heterocyclic Inhibitors of FGFR2 and Methods of Use Thereof (Mirati Therapeutics, 2020) — 52 example blocks parsed, 45 curated
- PubChem — name-to-structure resolution and verification of extracted compounds
- RCSB Protein Data Bank — FGFR2 kinase-domain co-crystal 1OOU at 1.77 angstroms, with 3B2T, 1OOO and 1OOQ retained as alternates
- UniProt P21802 (FGFR2_HUMAN) — tyrosine-kinase domain, residues 458 to 768
- Subbiah et al., Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 121:e2317756121 (2024) — lirafugratinib discovery
- Turner et al., Journal of Medicinal Chemistry 65:1481 (2022) — fragment-to-lead selective FGFR2 inhibitors
Limitations
The model's target is a geometric proxy rather than measured potency, and because the pocket-contact term is not normalised for ligand size, larger molecules score higher by construction, which inflates the apparent importance of size descriptors. With 45 molecules against 2,071 features the applicability domain extends to ranking within the pyrrolopyrimidine series but not to other FGFR2 scaffolds.
How this research was produced
K-Dense Web planned and ran this cheminformatics investigation end to end — gathering the sources, carrying out the analysis, producing the figures, and drafting the report. The full session transcript, including every intermediate step, is available to view.


